Confidence interval calculator

Confidence interval calculator for a mean (t or z), a proportion (Wilson or Wald) or a difference of two means, with the margin of error and both bounds.

تازہ کاری جانچی گئی مثالیں: 7

%
آزمائیں
Margin of error (±)
Margin of error (±): 2.740646
زیادہ سے زیادہ اعشاری مقامات: 6؛ قریب ترین؛ برابر فاصلے پر صفر سے دور
Lower bound
69.659354
Upper bound
75.140646
Point estimate
72.4
Standard error
1.35
Critical value
2.030108
Degrees of freedom
35

We can be 95% confident the true mean lies between 69.6594 and 75.1406 (72.4 ± 2.7406). The confidence describes the method — about 95% of intervals built this way contain the true value — not a probability for this one interval.

95% interval for the mean: 72.4 ± 2.7406

00.10.26870727476μDensity69.659475.1406
حساب کا طریقہ S
  1. Standard error

    SE=sn=8.136=1.35SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt n} = \frac{8.1}{\sqrt{36}} = 1.35
  2. Critical value

    t0.975, 35=2.030108t_{0.975,\ 35} = 2.030108
  3. Margin of error

    E=2.030108×1.35=2.740646E = 2.030108 \times 1.35 = 2.740646
  4. Interval

    72.4±2.740646=[69.659354, 75.140646]72.4 \pm 2.740646 = [69.659354,\ 75.140646]

Confidence interval calculator کے بارے میں

A confidence interval is a point estimate plus or minus a margin of error, and the margin is a critical value times the standard error. For a mean the standard error is s/√n and the critical value comes from Student's t with n − 1 degrees of freedom, or from the normal distribution when σ is known. For a proportion the Wilson score interval is the default, with the Wald formula p̂ ± z√(p̂(1 − p̂)/n) offered for comparison.

Survey results, lab measurements and A/B tests are reported this way. The default sample of 36 with mean 72.4 and standard deviation 8.1 gives SE = 1.35, t = 2.030 on 35 df and a 95% interval of 69.66 to 75.14, or 72.4 ± 2.74.

The 95% describes the procedure: across many samples, about 95% of intervals built this way contain the true value. Any single interval either contains it or does not.

حل شدہ مثالیں

Mean with sample SD, n = 36 (defaults)

Interval for
Mean, σ unknown (t)
Enter
Summary statistics
Sample 1 mean
72.4
Sample standard deviation s₁
8.1
Sample size n₁
36
Confidence level
95%
Critical value
2.030108
Margin of error (±)
2.740646
Lower bound
69.659354
Upper bound
75.140646

جانچ کا ماخذ: ⁨t₀.₉₇₅,₃₅ = 2.030 (t table); Python bisection on the A&S 26.7.3 closed form gives 2.0301079283; margin = t·8.1/6⁩

Mean with known σ

Interval for
Mean, σ known (z)
Enter
Summary statistics
Sample 1 mean
72.4
Sample size n₁
36
Known population σ
8
Confidence level
95%
Critical value
1.959964
Margin of error (±)
2.613285

جانچ کا ماخذ: ⁨z₀.₉₇₅ = 1.959964 (z table; Python NormalDist().inv_cdf(0.975)); margin = z·8/6⁩

Proportion 540/1000, Wilson

Interval for
Proportion
Successes x
540
Sample size n
1000
Method
Wilson score
Confidence level
95%
Lower bound
0.509015
Upper bound
0.570679
Margin of error (±)
0.030832

جانچ کا ماخذ: ⁨Wilson score formula evaluated in Python with z = NormalDist().inv_cdf(0.975)⁩

Proportion 540/1000, Wald

Interval for
Proportion
Successes x
540
Sample size n
1000
Method
Wald (p̂ ± z·SE)
Confidence level
95%
Lower bound
0.50911
Upper bound
0.57089
Margin of error (±)
0.03089

جانچ کا ماخذ: ⁨p̂ ± z√(p̂(1−p̂)/n) in Python⁩

سوالات

What does a 95% confidence interval mean?

The method captures the true value in 95% of repeated samples. For the default data the interval is 69.66 to 75.14, but there is not a 95% probability that the true mean lies in that particular range: the true mean is fixed, and this interval either contains it or not. Nor does the interval hold 95% of individual values, which spread far wider (SD 8.1); that needs a prediction or tolerance interval.

How do you calculate the margin of error?

Multiply the critical value by the standard error. For a mean, E = t × s/√n: with s = 8.1 and n = 36, E = 2.030 × 1.35 = 2.74. For a proportion, E ≈ z√(p̂(1 − p̂)/n): 54% of 1,000 respondents gives 1.96 × 0.0158 ≈ 0.031, or ±3.1 percentage points. Because n sits under a square root, quadrupling the sample size halves the margin.

When should I use a z interval instead of a t interval?

Only when the population standard deviation σ is known, which is rare outside textbook problems and long-running process data. With σ estimated from the sample, use t. Its 95% critical value is larger for small samples, 2.262 for n = 10 against 1.960 for z, and approaches z as n grows: 2.030 at n = 36 and 1.984 at n = 101.

Why use the Wilson interval for a proportion?

The Wald interval p̂ ± z·SE covers the true proportion less often than stated when n is small or p̂ is near 0 or 1; Brown, Cai and DasGupta (2001) found its coverage can fall far below 95% even with hundreds of observations. Wilson stays close to the stated level and never leaves the range 0 to 1. With 0 successes in 20 trials Wald gives the zero-width interval [0, 0], while Wilson gives 0 to 0.161.

If a confidence interval for a difference excludes 0, is the result significant?

Yes, for the matching test: a 95% interval for a difference in means excludes 0 exactly when a two-sided test at α = 0.05 using the same method (Welch or pooled) rejects no difference. The default two-group summaries give 3.5 ± 4.0, from −0.5 to 7.5, which includes 0, so the difference is not significant at 5%. The interval also shows how large the effect could plausibly be, which a p-value does not.

“⁨Confidence interval calculator⁩” کتنا درست ہے؟

درستی آپ کی درج کردہ قدروں اور طریقے کے مفروضوں پر منحصر ہے۔ اعشاری حساب 50 بامعنی ہندسے استعمال کرتا ہے، مگر تخمینے، عددی طریقے اور ماخذ کا ڈیٹا کم درست ہو سکتے ہیں؛ دکھائی گئی قدروں کو راؤنڈ کرنے سے یہ حدود ختم نہیں ہوتیں۔ آزاد ذرائع کی حل شدہ مثالوں سے جانچ: 7۔ مثلاً، “⁨Mean with sample SD, n = 36 (defaults)⁩” کو ⁨t₀.₉₇₅,₃₅ = 2.030 (t table); Python bisection on the A&S 26.7.3 closed form gives 2.0301079283; margin = t·8.1/6⁩ سے جانچا جاتا ہے۔

اس طریقے کا ماخذ کیا ہے؟

NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, §7.2.2.1 Confidence limits for the mean; NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook, §7.2.4.1 Confidence intervals for a proportion (Wilson and normal approximation); Brown, Cai & DasGupta (2001). Interval estimation for a binomial proportion. Statistical Science 16(2), 101–133.

اس کیلکولیٹر کے بارے میں

xˉ±t1−α/2, n−1sn,Wilson: p^+z22n±zp^(1−p^)n+z24n21+z2/n\bar x \pm t_{1-\alpha/2,\,n-1}\frac{s}{\sqrt n},\qquad \text{Wilson: } \frac{\hat p + \frac{z^2}{2n} \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} + \frac{z^2}{4n^2}}}{1 + z^2/n}

ماخذ

  1. NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, §7.2.2.1 Confidence limits for the mean
  2. NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook, §7.2.4.1 Confidence intervals for a proportion (Wilson and normal approximation)
  3. Brown, Cai & DasGupta (2001). Interval estimation for a binomial proportion. Statistical Science 16(2), 101–133

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